Tropical Weather

Hurricane Earl is approximately 395 miles south-southwest of Nantucket, MA and is moving toward the north-northeast at 18 mph. The center of Earl will move away from the NC Outer Banks today and will approach southeastern New England tonight. Earl is a category two hurricane and slow weakening is forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours.  Tropical Storm Fiona is approximately 285 miles south-southwest of Bermuda and is moving toward the north at 13 mph. The center of Fiona is expected to pass near Bermuda later this evening or early Saturday. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.    

Excessive Rainfall

There is a slight risk of flash flooding across southeastern New England due to Hurricane Earl. Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches or greater from far eastern Long Island, across southeastern New England and northward along coastal MA, NH, and ME. 

Severe Weather

There are no severe thunderstorm areas forecast, but some thunderstorms are possible from the lower Great Lakes into the upper OH valley region as well as from TN to the lower MS valley into TX. An eastward propagating cold front will be the focus for thunderstorm development later today into tonight across the mid to upper OH valley and lower Great Lakes and these storms may have a potential for locally strong wind gusts. The southwestward extension of the cold front will serve as the focus for scattered thunderstorms from TN into TX during the afternoon.

Saturday

There are no severe thunderstorm areas forecast, but some strong thunderstorms are possible. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across much of central and southwest MT during the afternoon and early evening. Some storms may be capable of strong gusty winds and small hail. Additional thunderstorms are anticipated across FL and the southern Rockies. 

Sunday

There are no severe thunderstorm areas forecast, but some thunderstorms are anticipated across the Rockies Front Range and the north-central High Plains. A few thunderstorms may be capable of producing hail and/or gusty winds, particularly from WY/southeast MT into western SD during the afternoon and early evening. Storms could propagate eastward across the mid-MO valley throughout the evening and into the overnight hours