We’re halfway through the 2010 season, which runs from June through November. NOAA is forecasting a total of 14 to 20 named tropical storms in the Atlantic basin, including 8 to 12 hurricanes and 4 to 6 major hurricanes (with winds of at least 111 mph). In an average season there will be 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. So clearly the forecast is for a very active season.

Part of the reason for the active forecast is the formation of La Niña in the tropical Pacific Ocean. This counterpart to El Niño is associated with reduced wind shear over the Atlantic, which allows storms to organize and grow. Other reasons for the forecast include warm Atlantic Ocean water and the trend of active seasons since 1995.

On the North American continent this season, Hurricane Alex struck northern Mexico in late June, while Bonnie reaching Louisiana as a Tropical Depression. Currently, Hurricanes Danielle and Earl are trending away from U.S. waters, while yet another tropical cyclone is likely to form in the western Atlantic. With five named storms so far this season,

 NOAA’s forecast appears to be on track.

WDT’s MyFoxHurricane iPhone app showing Hurricanes Danielle and Earl in the Atlantic.