Storm Predictor

- Level-II radar based mosaics as input.
- Uses McGill University MAPLE package.
- Provides reflectivity forecasts out to 6 hours every 15 minutes and 90 minute forecasts every 5 minutes.
- Integrates WRF numerical model forecasts for precipitation typing to delineate areas of rain, snow and mixed precipitation.
- Uses variable Z-R and Z-S relationships to calculate Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) out to 4 hours.
- Using USPLN lightning data, provides 90 minute lighting threat
forecasts every 5 minutes.

Comparison with actual radar: Example of Storm PredictorTM output from a convective complex in the Central United States. Left panel is actual data, right panel is 2 hr forecasted radar image valid at the time of the left panel.
Products
- Four hour forecasts of rain/snow/mixed precipitation at 1 km resolution for the continental US. Updated every 15 minutes and provided in NetCDF datafile format.
- QPF of predicted rain, snow, freezing rain out to four hours for the continental US.
- Storm PredictorTM output is available as part of WDTs real-time display systems.
- Storm PredictorTM output is used to provide alerting and ETA/ETD of heavy rain, thunderstorms and lightning.

